Equity · 2026-09-04 · 39 min
Key moments - from our scoring
Substance score
48 / 100
Five dimensions, 20 points each
This episode examines the strategic shifts at two massive tech companies and the heating robotaxi sector. The hosts discuss Apple's CEO transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, who is positioned as a product-focused leader while Cook remains involved in White House relations and political positioning. The conversation explores whether Ternus can balance hardware innovation - including rumors of a foldable iPhone - with Apple Intelligence and software improvements that have lagged competitors. The episode then pivots to Nvidia's aggressive bet on owning the entire AI infrastructure stack, not just GPUs. Through acquisitions like Hugging Face, investments in startups like Wave and MediaTek, and partnerships with Amazon, Nvidia is hedging against commoditization while maintaining dominance. Finally, the hosts track the accelerating robotaxi race, noting Tesla's Cybercab event, Waymo's geographic expansion into San Diego, Tampa and Denver, and Zoox's paid rides to Las Vegas Airport - signaling a shift from pure testing to revenue-generating operations.
John Ternus is a product guy at Apple who is now replacing Tim Cook as CEO. Tim Cook will remain involved with White House relations and political matters, freeing Ternus to focus on product innovation and company growth.
Apple has lagged significantly on AI and Siri over the last decade, and early reviews of revamped Siri in iOS show dramatic improvement. Ternus can quickly signal renewal by showing software and AI progress alongside hardware launches.
Nvidia is acquiring companies like Hugging Face, investing in startups like Wave (self-driving) and MediaTek, developing open-weight AI models, and partnering with cloud providers like Amazon on CPUs and infrastructure - essentially betting on the entire AI stack, not just GPU dominance.
Major tech companies like Amazon are hedging by developing their own chips while continuing to work with Nvidia. They want optionality in the uncertain AI infrastructure market rather than betting entirely on one vendor, similar to how logistics companies diversify vehicle fleets.
Zoox is now charging for paid rides to Las Vegas Airport, marking a transition from pure testing to revenue-generating operations, which is operationally important for demonstrating real-world commercial viability.
Our reviewer’s read on each dimension, with quotes from the episode.
The episode covers four major topics (Apple CEO transition, Nvidia's strategy, robotaxis, and some deals) but often settles into surface-level discussion. While there are some useful observations - like Nvidia's fundamental understanding of AI infrastructure, or the operational challenges robotaxis face with teleoperators - much of the conversation recycles known points: new CEOs face pressure, Musk is aggressive, competition will intensify. The show lacks deep analytical insight or novel frameworks; it reads more like recapping the week's news than surfacing non-obvious truths.
I think there is an element of this where this is Nvidia hedging itself away from some of the risk
I think they understand this stuff on a fundamental level in a way that none of these other major companies like an Apple or something do
The episode rehashes conventional narratives: Tim Cook as the quiet operator; Nvidia diversifying to hedge risk; Tesla under Musk being willing to burn cash; robotaxis moving toward scale. The hosts touch on the innovator's dilemma and reference existing reporting (Russell Brandom's piece on Nvidia, Mike Isaac's Uber book) but don't push into contrarian or first-principles territory. The GoPro discussion is one of the few fresher angles, though framed cynically without deep analysis.
There's shades of innovators dilemma here where Apple, you know, had gotten sort of set in its ways
he's the least risk averse person I've ever encountered in my life
This is a show with only two hosts - Speaker B (Kirsten Korosek, TechCrunch Transportation Editor) and Speaker C (Sean O'Kane, Special Projects). Neither is a direct practitioner or operator at scale; both are journalists covering the space. While they have beat expertise and access, they are not founders, executives, or operators who have built or scaled the businesses they're discussing. The show is driven by reporting and commentary, not guest expertise.
I'm Kirsten Korosek, Transportation Editor
our senior reporter, Special projects, Sean o'
The episode includes some specific data points - Waymo's ~1,400 vehicles in San Francisco, potential 8,000 vehicles in Las Vegas over two years, GoPro's $285 million acquisition price, 16Z's $1.1 billion and $8.5 billion funds, fewer than 100 teleoperators for Waymo - but these are scattered and often not interrogated deeply. Large stretches lack concrete numbers: discussions of Ternus's strategy, Apple Intelligence, Nvidia's investments, and Tesla's robotaxi rollout remain largely theoretical. The episode would benefit from more specific metrics on revenue, growth rates, or timelines.
The acquisition was for $285 million
we think, about 1400 vehicles. Most of those are the Jaguar I paces
The hosts ask decent follow-up questions and occasionally push back. Korosek follows up on Tim Cook remaining involved and its implications; O'Kane is asked whether Nvidia's broad bets are a distraction and engages thoughtfully. However, the conversation often drifts into tangents (Lake Ontario naming, Oswego references) that don't advance the main analysis. There are few moments where either host truly presses the other on unsupported claims, and some interesting threads (e.g., Tesla's willingness to burn cash, Waymo's teleoperator bottleneck) are raised but not rigorously explored.
Well, I want to back up though with, with Nvidia
Here's one more question for you
Computed from the transcript - who did the talking, and the words that came up most.
It's officially the Ternus era at Apple. Tim Cook stepped down as CEO this week, handing the company to former hardware chief John Ternus, whose first memo promised a “huge launch next week” - timing that puts Apple's next iPhone event on his desk before he's even settled in. Cook isn't going far, though: he's staying on as executive chairman, focused on the kind of policy relationships that recently turned something as small as a map label into a very public balancing act. All of which raises an obvious question: what does the Ternus era look like, and how much rope will shareholders give him to figure it out? On this episode of TechCrunch's Equity podcast, hosts Kirsten Korosec and Sean O'Kane unpack what Ternus is walking into, why he may actually be better positioned to make progress on software than hardware in this new AI era, and more of the week's news.
Transcribed and scored by The B2B Podcast Index.
Speaker A: When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who. Check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a $75 sponsored job credit@ Indeed.com podcast. That's Indeed.com podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs.
Speaker B: Apple has a new CEO, and John Ternus is already teasing a huge event next week, leaving all of us wondering what the company's Turnus arrow will look like. Also this week, Nvidia keeps spreading its bets across the AI stack. The robotaxi industry is heating up, and we're keeping our eye on a few deals, including the $285 million acquisition of GoPro. Hello, and welcome Back to Equity, TechCrunch's flagship podcast about the business of startups. Today is Friday, September 4th. I'm Kirsten Korosek, Transportation Editor, and I'm joined, as always, by our senior reporter, Special projects, Sean o'. Kane. No. Anthony. Ha. Today, he will be back. He is enjoying a vacation. But there is so much to talk about. What's top of mind for you today?
Speaker C: Well, I'm a little bit sick. My kids started first grade, so I'm being introduced to a whole new, uh, you know, biome of wonderful things happening in that room, as is the case at the beginning of every school year. Uh, so I'm dealing with that. But otherwise, I mean, I think we've got a lot to get to. Especially excited to talk a little bit about Robo Taxis at the end.
Speaker B: Yes, well, we will get to Robotaxis, and we should, of course, say when we say Robotaxis, Tesla Cyber Cab event is happening as we record this. But let's get started with a different company first, which is Apple. And sort of the end of the Tim Cook era, right?
Speaker C: Yeah, at one point, maybe its own Robotaxi play until they decided to up and kill Project Titan. And, um, I've seen some speculation this week. Oh, maybe the new CEO will bring that back. I highly doubt it. I'll plant that flag pretty easily right now. But, yes, Tim Cook steps down, John Furnace, the new CEO, just in time for a new iPhone event and whatever else they might throw at us next week. I'm sure we're going to get into it, but Tim Cook had the sort of unenvious position, uh, of having to follow Steve Jobs. Uh, I think a lot of people would think about it that way. That's. It's sort of. I'm a baseball fan and a Yankees fan, and I remember the conversation about who's going to be the shortstop after Derek Jeter retires. This has a very similar feeling to me. There's been a lot of focus on Ternus being a product guy and that being a positive for the company. I think, you know, we're just going to have to see, uh, what that means, because you can only be sort of leading with your products when you're a company as big as Apple, especially one that makes so much of its money from its services. And so I'm very curious to see how he walks that line. And then I think the other thing that I'll say just up top is like, Cook gets all this attention and praise for being the operator that he was and the sort of numbers guy and the just in time manufacturing, all that stuff. And that's all true, but he's also, behind the scenes, a pretty ruthless guy. The thing that I always come back to is that sort of reporting from Mike Isaac in his book about Uber, where Tim Cook pulled Travis Kalanick in to a meeting back in the mid 2010s and was like, you guys are breaking all these rules that we need you to abide by or else we're going to boot you off the App Store. And he really, for a long time, I think, behind the scenes, has wielded Apple's power as a marketplace and as an App Store provider, uh, to sort of make things happen or stop other things from happening. I do think we saw that soften in his last few years. Like, there were, I think, arguably clearer violations of Apple's terms of service when X sort of went in some of the directions that X went in under Elon Musk. And that never really, you know, there was, uh, a moment in time a year or two ago where, like, Musk showed up at Cupertino and they, they clearly met on campus, but it was not, you know, I don't think it was reported as being the same kind of tense standoff that we saw with Travis Kalanick years ago. So those are the kinds of things that I'm thinking of, you know, what kind of political operator behind the scenes. And in, you know, in front of everybody, in front of the cameras at the White House, is John Ternus going to be.
Speaker B: Well, that's an important point. So I want to jump in here. First of all, we know that Tim Cook is still going to stay involved, um, with Apple. So he may not be in the position that he was in, but to your point of behind the scenes, sort of the quiet but ruthless leader, he's still going to be around. And in fact, the company has said even that he is going to be kind of paying attention to that White House relationship, which frees up John Ternus to focus on the important things I think that shareholders really care about, which is, you know, continued growth, which is how do you grow a, um, very mature company, you know, one of the most valuable companies in the world. How do you put out, um, new and interesting products while also on the hardware side and pushing that forward, while also, um, pushing forward on the software side. So that is what he's going to be judged on. And Tim Cook isn't totally going away. So I think that that's like, really, you know, kind of an important point. I want to circle back to something you said in the beginning, which is, I also remember when Tim Cook took the position and there were all these questions like, could he live up to Steve Jobs? And I think that the same questions are being asked today. And to me, it isn't that these questions are being asked. To me, really kind of the underlying question is how much time are, uh, shareholders going to give John Ternus to get up to speed and how much grace are they going to give him? And I mean, I think the first test is coming up next week, which is September 9th. There's going to be a big hardware event. Obviously, Tim Cook's hands are going to be all over that, but it will be the first time we're going to see how Ternus is received, you know, in a very public sort of way. And then the future products and software moves. I think that's going to take six months, a year, two years for us to really see his effect on the company. So I guess I think we're kind of in agreement on things. Although I just want to highlight that Tim Cook's not going away. I'm wondering if you think that he is going to be kind of quietly disappearing in the background or if we're going to actually see Tim Cook quite a bit at the White House.
Speaker C: It's a good question, right? I mean, I think we've seen so many of these other situations where somebody bumps up to like, you know, quote unquote, executive chairman or whatever the title might be that allows them to continue to move, you know, do the more soft power stuff. Uh, and I could see that happening. I mean, by all accounts, Trump seems to Like Tim Cook, unsurprising, given the things that Cook has handed him quite, you know, quite literal things like gold things in the White House or more, you know, sort of esoteric things like during the first administration where Cooks were of, gave him the ability to brag about bringing Mac manufacturing back to the US when it was really a factory that was already making Mac's uh, a third party contractor. He has shown that he's willing to go in a lot of different directions and do some, I think frankly, shameless stuff, uh, when it comes to just securing the sort of uh, courting the administration in that way. And so it would be a useful way to keep him around.
Speaker B: Yeah. And I would say even uh, recently sometimes that soft power isn't necessarily handing um, the White House something but just complying with you know, the doctrine or executive orders that um, that Trump signed. So this just came up recently with how Apple Maps displays Lake Ontario. It now if you're uh, in the US and you're a user of Apple Maps, it now shows Lake America, which, you know, Apple is following Google's lead on this. Um, but there is one company, MapQuest, that is not. And you know, I think in another era, maybe in another administration, Apple would have stood up to this, but they're not. And so it's not so much giving things to the White House as much as also complying with what Trump wants. And in this case something as simple as, you know, changing the name of, you know, one of the Great Lakes to the name that Trump wants. You know, it's, it's making the White House happy right now.
Speaker C: Yeah, I mean, I won't go on a big tangent. I grew up on Lake Ontario, you know, shout out Oswego, New York. Uh, I do think it's very weird that an executive order the President signed this week resulted in my mom being on the local news talking about, you know, this issue. You know, there are gradations to this stuff. Right. Like I think the lake name thing even more so to some extent I think in the Gulf of America, Gulf of Mexico thing is just one of those things where it's, it's too easy frankly for these tech companies to just go along with because they have the fallback of being able to say, well the executive order did this and it changed this database and therefore we go on the database, et cetera, et cetera. It's those other things where you have to kind of either serve a created reality that this administration prefers or create ones that little ones that it can sort of gloat about, um, on the world stage that, you know, I'm interested to see how. I don't think any tech company CEO right now is going to change their willingness to do those things. So, you know, that, that said, it makes me want to pay close attention to how Turnus does this while he's also getting, you know, uh, let's go back to the baseball metaphor, maybe not necessarily a fastball down the middle next week with a hardware event, uh, because there is this iPhone fold that might be coming out and that has a lot of questions, um, and has a decent chance of not being a very successful product if you look at uh, how some of the other foldable phones have gone as far as raw sales are, but something that is an easy first step for him as CEO.
Speaker B: Uh, on the product side, I think one thing that we haven't really talked a lot about, which is sort of surprising since we talk about AI so much on this show, which is how Ternus is going to keep Apple as a leader or certainly in the game of AI. And you know, Apple Intelligence has been criticized. Um, the company has tried to catch up and they've made some progress on that front. But there is all eyes are on that, that really matters. I mean as much of how we think of Apple as a hardware company. I mean the AI component of this and what they do it and how they apply to their hardware really matters here. And that matters more than the relationship with the White House I would say, or um, other matters. Even lawsuits that Apple has right now. The one with OpenAI is a good example. All of those kind of fade to the background. What really matters here is how Apple is going to lead or at least keep up.
Speaker C: Yeah, I actually think he's better set up talking about having a good first step next week with a hardware event. I think he's almost better set up to make progress on the software, if only because of how, uh, especially on the AI side and Siri in particular, how badly Apple has lagged on that stuff over the last decade and the early reviews. Our own Sarah Perez has written about this a few times on the site of the kind of revamped Siri in the new version of iOS. It's just like night and day with how much more usable it is now versus really where it's been over, over the last 10 years. And so the ability to do that. Plus also there's been a lot of shakeup inside the software organization and the design side of things at Apple, which, you know, backing away from the like liquid classification of iOS alongside making Siri better. It's just like it's going to be very easy for a lot of people to look at Ternus's first few months of his tenure as CEO and say, like, boy, doesn't this feel like a fresher Apple than we've had recently? Uh, you know, as long as everything else goes well.
Speaker B: Yeah, that's a good point. I think that within the company, you know, we've focused a lot of attention on like, how shareholders are going to react and how much grace they're going to give turnis. But you know, what, what employees think, um, really matters here. And we've already seen a bunch of executives go to different positions or leave the company altogether. And so, yeah, I think that you're right that a fresher Apple may, may come out of this, um, which I think should benefit Apple, assuming that those, the fresher Apple is a better Apple. But it certainly internally could at least revive, um, sort of ambitions within the company. Uh, don't forget, I mean there's a lot of pressure from other, other companies to hire talent away. And you know, Apple certainly pays its engineers very well and things like that. We know that. But it's very exciting to go work at an OpenAI or the other company that we're going to talk about, which is Nvidia, another incredibly valuable company, I think. Five and a half. We'll round up five and a half trillion dollar market cap. Um, this is a company that's also doing really exciting things and absolutely dominating in the AI space. So can Apple hold onto that talent and stave off the OpenAI's Anthropics and Nvidias of the world?
Speaker A: When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a $75 sponsored job credit@ Indeed.com podcast. That's Indeed.com podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs.
Speaker C: I think that's a great point. The idea that it is not just an easy win to be Apple and have people want to come work for Apple, especially when you're trying to compete, uh, on this frontier technology. And we've, we haven't really seen them do that in the way that they have to do that lately. And, and it's, it's got to be hard, right? Because like, let's talk about Nvidia. This company that has become so valuable, valuable and so dominant in this space for a number of reasons is it's not just because it's also done one thing. Like Russell Brandham wrote a really good piece for us this week about how Nvidia is changing itself and trying to be more than just the company that made the good GPU that everybody wants. And that must be really challenging to try to compete with when you see a company that is being very dynamic like that. I mean, there's shades of innovators dilemma here where Apple, you know, had gotten sort of set in its ways for a lot of reasons and you know, uh, it's I guess its biggest foray as far as like how it wanted to experiment over the last 10 years was a car project. Uh, because, you know, it was stuck with this problem of like, you know, we've made ourselves so big. Tim Cook has done such a good job of like expanding the user base and building up this services thing. They really had kind of no, if they wanted to keep growing, no other way to grow other than to move into something like possibly health care, which hasn't really turned into the big cash cow that they, they were maybe positioning it as or automotive and self driving, which is, you know, something that was more attractive, I think to them when it was more theoretical versus when they actually got into the nitty gritty of it over the last couple years. And Nvidia is kind of like speed running that to a certain extent now, where they're trying to get themselves ahead of the problem of being the kind of outdated GPU provider, uh, especially as all these other companies are also trying to beat them at that game. And so Nvidia getting its hands in not only the AI companies by making deals with them, circular or not, but also trying to place bets on other startups that are in the space and bringing them in the fold, either just keeping them close or with hugging face this week finally closing that deal that we've talked about and actually acquiring them. It's a really interesting time for Jensen and company.
Speaker B: Yeah, I want to back up though with, with Nvidia, which is, you know, like I teased earlier, the second company we really want to focus on as one of our themes and you know, for those who've been writing about or reading about, maybe even investing Nvidia, there was a time where its biggest business was gaming and how far that company has come, the need and appetite for GPUs you could be a company that just simply is like, yep, this is going to be our business and we're going to dominate at that and then get lucky, cross your fingers. And I just don't think Nvidia is really the culture of it. Based on my conversations with insiders and executives at ah, Nvidia, that's very much not the culture. So they're doing a few things here. They're developing their open weight models that they're using both to develop their own products but also putting it out in the world which almost ensures that every startup is going to be using that for on um, the development side. But then they're also trying to own the hardware and to your point they're making acquisitions and hugging face is really you know, or investing in companies and you're seeing that across the board. Like they're investing in Wave for instance which is the UK self driving startup but they're also investing in media tech which was another deal. So that really runs the gamut. And uh, to me my question for you is, you know, is it too much like to play the devil's advocate, like is it a distraction to try to do such a broad variety of things?
Speaker C: I mean I don't think so and for two reasons. One is, you know, to your point, I think there is an element of this where this is Nvidia hedging itself away from some of the risk. I mean we're still talking largely about AI companies or companies in the infrastructure chain to support that AI. So like caveat that but there is an element of them kind of trying to put some not distance but padding around the biggest AI companies and those really just obviously circular deals by working in this way. The other thing that I think is interesting here and worth considering is Nvidia I think understands this stuff on a fundamental level in a way that none of these other major companies like an Apple or something do. And what I mean by that is like you uh, know you mentioned their gaming roots. Like I remember sitting in the production trailer at so many cess years ago when I wrote elsewhere where it was like almost like people were drawing straws to be like who's going to sit through the like three hour presentation that Jensen's about to do that is going to be about.
Speaker B: He still does three hours. He still does three hours to be clear.
Speaker C: Yeah. Now they're events now like you know it's like a, you know it's like a megachurch uh, event when he's on stage. But back then that wasn't the case. I mean, it was at ces, so there was attention on it, but it was not the thing that people were dying to see. And I say that just to note that, like, I think they understand this in a way that makes it easy for these companies to sidle up to Nvidia, because they know that they get it. They know that they have this knowledge. It's not just that they have the resources that they want or need, but that there is a fundamental understanding. And I think that's really interesting. And I think part of me wants to compare them to Uber and what Uber's doing in Robo Taxis, where it's making all these strategic bets. Uh, you know, maybe they're not strategic because they're just, um, investing in everybody. Uh, but I think the difference here is that, you know, Uber is more explicitly transactional with the companies that it's making those investments with, whereas Nvidia, I think there is a bit more of, like, a coherence between them and these, These smaller companies that they're. They're finding themselves invested in or working with. And I just, I find that dynamic really interesting.
Speaker B: Here's one more question for you. So, um, you know, they just had their earnings recently, and within those earnings, which, you know, it's always interesting to see a company, like, beating expectations, just like, basically generating so much cash, it's almost hard to wrap your mind around it and shareholders being like, meh, and kind of shrugging. But that aside, there were some interesting, more, you know, I would say traditional deals that happened. The big one that we wrote about was, you know, Amazon, and it wasn't just a straight Amazon deciding to buy additional GPUs. Actually, it's deeper than that. It's CPUs. It's like the Nvidia infrastructure, which goes to what we kicked this conversation off about, which is this piece by Russell Brandom, which is, you know, Nvidia wanting to kind of own that whole stack. And the deal with Amazon reflects that. You know, in the past six months, there's been a lot of chatter about companies like Amazon creating their own chips and how this is going to be putting pressure on Nvidia. So is that just a false flag? Like, should. Should we kind of shrug at that and just say, you know, Nvidia is going to continue to be dominant. Clearly they're still selling these to all these companies? Or should Nvidia be a little bit worried about all these companies creating potentially competitive, um, CPUs at least?
Speaker C: Uh, yes, to all of them. I think that's just where we're at. I think we're in a moment of everybody's still trying to figure this out. But also these big tech companies have done enough over the last few years to put themselves in a position to be able to hedge in this way. It almost makes me think of, just because it's something that I think about a lot or write about. I remember, um, watching all these electric vehicle players try and, you know, start to get their, themselves involved in like the commercial EV market. And that's been hard because like, none of the, like major FedEx or UPS is. They don't like make up their fleet out of just one vehicle often. You know, they're always mixing and looking for the right mix and match of the right types of vehicles. And I feel like there's a similar dynamic happening here where everybody's hedging a little bit, um, and putting themselves in a position where if it looks like one thing is going to be the best option, then they'll go, you know, completely after that. But until, until that becomes abundantly clear. There's just so much froth right now that it's just, it's better for them to do it this way.
Speaker B: Well, you mentioned vehicles, so I'm going to do a, uh, um, right hand turn here. So follow me on this pun, people. We're going to talk about robotaxis, which, you know, both of us have spent a lot of time talking about. Um, and it's a big week for robo taxis. I'm going to quickly list it. Tesla cybercab event. Everyone's watching that. We've got Waymo expanding into San Diego, Tampa and Denver. We've got Zoox starting to give rides that they're charging for importantly to the Las Vegas airport, which is operationally important for them. We've got testing expansions happening elsewhere. I mean, what else am I missing here? There's a lot going on and, oh, Uber and Wave, I would call it a soft launch. They still have a human safety operator behind the wheel, but this is happening in London. So here's the big question. I just listed a bunch of things that are happening. Are we at a, uh, tipping point when it comes to we've moved past the research lab, we've moved past testing. Are we really moving into what I would call like mass adoption scale or is this just merely a busy week in robo taxi announcements?
Speaker C: I think it's probably more the former than the latter. I think Waymo deciding to go into Denver now is maybe the Thing that stands out to me the most among some of these other companies, the idea that they're going to start operating in a city that maybe has the most dynamic weather of the ones that they've been in so far. It was this month.
Speaker B: It will know I used to live in Denver. I guarantee you it will snow in September. It happens every year. There's a freak snowstorm. Um, it will happen. And so we'll, I guess we'll see, uh, how it handles that.
Speaker C: Yeah, I mean, but that's not to say they haven't dealt with severe weather already. Right. Like, there's been a ton of rain this summer in parts of Texas. They've had to deal with flooding. I think they're still trying to get themselves situated in San Antonio, where they had some of the worst of that, and one of their vehicles got swept away. Uh, you know, I think that just shows that. Plus they've added, you know, a few hundred more vehicles to their registration in Texas this week in advance of the Cyber Cab event. Uh, you know, I think they're, they are ready to be moving forward. Um, you know, and we know that they still have at least probably six more cities they want to get into this year by year's end, including, uh, overseas. They're aiming at, you know, Tokyo and London as their kind of first extensions out. So, yeah, I think this is a big moment. The big question is, what do they do to solve some of the operational issues that they've had, uh, up until this point? Right. They're leaning on what is, by our last public count, fewer than 100 tele operators to handle the kind of ins and outs of awkward interactions when they're dealing with cars that get stuck or cars that wind up needing help from first responders. Uh, and all of those questions, copy and paste them right onto Tesla. They're about to launch, in some capacity, their Cyber Cab, starting in Austin. We've seen that they've staged a whole bunch of these Cyber Cabs around the country. Whether or not those get activated in the next couple of weeks or not, you know, remains to be seen. But, you know, all of those questions there Tesla is going to have to answer to, and they're going to have to answer in a different way because that, that vehicle in particular can't be manually driven away if it gets into, you know, much like the Zoox vehicle, if it gets into a situation where it gets stuck or, or whatever, you know, they're going to have to find a different way to get it out of harm's way. And, uh, so it's just, yeah, it's a really interesting time to see how the fabric of urban streets is changing,
Speaker B: uh, and who's doing the changing, especially in specific markets. So in San Francisco right now, um, Waymo has, we think, about 1400 vehicles. Most of those are the Jaguar I paces. You see Zoox finally getting a federal exemption because like the Cyber Cab, it doesn't have a steering wheel, it doesn't have pedals. You know, it's chosen a couple different tactics, but ultimately ended up applying for an exemption, received that exemption. So that means it can now, um, once it gets some final permits in California, it can charge for rides. So we should expect that scaling. But let's look at other markets. Las Vegas, Waymo, Uber, through its partners, um, Tesla, all received permits that will allow it to charge for its robo taxi service. That in the next two years could mean 8,000 vehicles on city streets. In Vegas, Zoox is already there. Do I think they're going to hit 8,000? Probably no. Then you've got Texas Austin. So you've got these places where multiple companies are coming together, um, that I think that's going to be. When you talk about the fabric of a city landscape, there's nothing like competition to really, um, and saturation to really, you know, spot some problems in operations, um, and potentially successes. And so I'm really paying attention to those markets where cybercab, Waymo and others are operating all within the same city. So for me, top of the list is Austin. You mentioned Denver, but right now Waymo has that market on its own.
Speaker C: To me, the question when you talk about competition, I. Up until now we haven't really seen competition. You know, we've seen Uber kind of competing against Waymo or, uh, Waymo competing against like Uber and Lyft or just traditional ride hail. There's a lot of interesting dynamics there. But like, when I think about Tesla, if it's, if it's going to be able to make this work in some capacity with the Cyber Cabin, it's going to try to scale this beyond the few dozen vehicles that it's had in Austin and a few other cities over the last year. There's an element here of like Charlie from Always Sunny in the Wild Card episode where, like, I am genuinely curious what these other robo taxi companies think and how they're going to respond to this because I feel like, you know, what comes to mind first is like, you know, a lot of people have been comparing the sort of early, quote unquote, like pricing of Tesla's robo taxi system or the Cyber Cab or whatever. And it always seems to be more aggressive than Waymo or Uber or Lyft or whatever in the same market. But like, I could see, one, I don't think that price is like really reflecting much because there's no scale or anything yet. And two, uh, you know, I could just see Elon Musk going as far as he wants. Like he has been waiting to do this and promising it in different ways for many, many years now. And when he gets committed to something, he commits to it in like, let's just say, very serious ways. And so like, how do you compete against a guy who is willing to burn it all down to a certain extent, uh, in order to make himself the one who's right and who's the winner? That's just an element that we haven't seen in this whole dynamic over the last couple years as robo taxis have really become a real thing. And so that's the thing that I can't stop thinking about is even if Tesla's tech works, what happens then on the competition side and how far is Elon Musk willing to push it, uh, in order to become, to fulfill his own prophecy?
Speaker B: Well, I would say, here's my prediction, we do have a couple deals that I really want to get to before the end of the show. But I will say, as someone who's covered Elon Musk um, for a decade back in the day, interviewed him many, many times, um, he's the least risk averse person I've ever encountered in my life. And he can probably credit a lot of the success that SpaceX and others have had for that willingness to go far beyond the line of what a normal company would do in terms of everyone saying, hey, we're out of money, don't do this anymore. Like, he will push it. So I fully predict that he will 100% push it there. And in a way that is, um, almost theatrical. But then the question is, six months from now, what does that look like? And that's what I'm really, really interested in, is how saturated will the market be with these cyber cabs six months to a year from now, not in the first two weeks after this event, but we have two deals I really want to get to, so we should transition. As much as I love to talk about Tesla and Tesla, uh, cybercap event, a 16Z, they're quite active. Not only are they have a growth fund that reached 8.5 billion, they also just launched a new 1.1 billion fund. Which one do you want to talk about, Sean? The 1.1 or the 8.5?
Speaker C: I mean, you know, I love a big number, but I've had multiple founders, uh, sort of in the physical AI space, I guess, if you want to call it that, sort of reach out to me this week about the Machine Age Fund, which is what they're calling the $1.1 billion fund. Just sort of like, ooh, like here's opportunity for us. Um, as if there wasn't enough money flowing into those kinds of startups these days to have Andreessen Horowitz sort of set. You know what I think is interesting here is like this. They have a lot of money to play with right now. Uh, they have not only the fund that got extended that you just described, but also their overall sort of like quote unquote American dynamism fund of like billions and billions of dollars. And yet this was a new pot of money that they are, you know, aiming at this idea and it's, it's got the ATT attention of a lot of younger, uh, founders right now, I'll tell you that much.
Speaker B: Yeah, I mean I would say for the early stage startup set, specifically within the physical AI, there's so much interest in this Machine Age Fund. Really the focus of this is going to be AI hardware. Um, so these are companies developing chips, you know, memory, networking and storage. So I expect a lot of interesting pitches coming our way and fundraising, you know, announcements from small startups. I am also interested in what they're going to do with Growth fund because to me it's like these mega funds. Where are they going to be placing their bets? They've already placed quite a few big ones in um, AI labs. So what do they do with this money now? Do they just double down on the existing investments, which I suspect they will, or are there going to be some new entrants that we didn't expect before or in some other areas like in Frontier or Deep Tech as we like to call it, um, that are just sort of like percolating up. I mean I think most people can accurately predict that they'll go to AI labs and adjacent companies. But what's the new growth, um, startup that they're going to be targeting?
Speaker C: Maybe Apple spin out a new self driving car project under John Ternus and that'll eat up 8 billion real quick.
Speaker B: Weirder things have happened. And speaking of weirder things that have happened, a, uh, throwback company that you used to, I think, write about quite a bit got acquired. And I'm talking about GoPro.
Speaker C: Yeah, it's funny to me, man, that this was one of the first companies that I ever really wrote about, uh, when I started covering tech over 10 years ago. And it's just funny to me, I think, uh, back to that time when Nick Woodman, who founded GoPro and is still the CEO, was like such a prominent figure in my eyes and I think a lot of other people's eyes as far as one of the, quote, Silicon Valley billionaires and Silicon Valley Tech CEOs. And that has just totally, totally gone away in recent years, um, in part because it's a concerted effort. He genuinely moved to the woods in the pandemic and has been living sort uh, of with his family out there. But yeah, they got bought by this company called Starman Optical. It's part of this larger holding group that owns a few other consumer tech brands like Incipio and Griffin. So think like phone accessories or phone cases. So in some ways it's a company or a holding company that has some consumer tech experience and some consumer tech retail experience. But the sort of positioning around this is that this optical division that they have, which is relatively new, is all about making specific types of equipment for, uh, artificial intelligence data centers. And GoPro said earlier this year, when it was already kind of copying to how tough its financial situation was, that it was considering getting into defense, maybe AI. Um, and so this is one of the ways that I think this has just wound up being one of the options on the table as far as some of the folks that I've spoken to since I wrote this story the other day. But yeah, it's a weird one because, like, this is not like a company that has itself, like, firmly established in the world of AI infrastructure. It feels more like a bet. Uh, and the other weird thing about it is that, like, GoPro is going to remain a publicly traded company even though it is now majority owned by this, uh, you know, Starman Optical. They say that they are going to, you know, continue supporting the existing consumer cameras. And in fact, like, you know, they just put out a couple new ones that seem like it's got people excited in a way that, uh, they haven't in, in a few years and a few generations. And you know, my question is like, I think you could look at the announcement and read it really cynically as, like, these may be the last real true consumer cameras that they make because, like, they're talking about broadening their portfolio and, you know, refactoring the financial side of things. And you're just like all these things that you usually read when you are going to have a major restructuring of some kind. We should say the deal isn't closed yet. Uh, you know, the acquisition was for $285 million. It's supposed to close by the end of this year. So I guess we'll see what happens. But, uh, you know, certainly an end of an era for a company that was one of, you know, at the forefront of, you know, Silicon Valley consumer tech a decade ago.
Speaker B: Yeah, I like to think of GoPro like in the early days when they were blowing up, and the founder of far more public and not in the woods yet. It was sort of like tech billionaire, tech multimillionaire 1.0. Um, now he'd be a mere peasant compared to, um, some of the other folks out there, like the Sam Altmans of the world. But, yeah, it is end of the era. And I'm curious to see if they do do this pivot to defense and AI. A bit of an eye roll there because, you know, every company is doing that, and like you said, it does feel like, you know, a little bit desperate, a little grasping, but they do have to diversify in some way or grow their consumer product base. So, you know, I think they're going to have to make a choice, and probably an exit here was the best choice for them. I'm just curious to see if a year from now they will still exist in the same way.
Speaker C: Well, before we go, we should remind everybody that Disrupt is coming back next month, our biggest event of the year. And It'll be from October 13th through the 15th at the Moscone Center. And if you want to be there, you can use a discount code, Equity25 at checkout.
Speaker B: Yeah, actually, I'm very excited because I'll be interviewing, uh, Rivian's founder and CEO RJ Scringe. But there's so much more there, and I hope to see you there, but we are out of time right now. Equity will be back next week. Until then, you can always find us under The Handlequity, uh, pod on X and Threads.
Speaker D: Equity is hosted by TechCrunch senior reporters and produced by Teresa Loconsolo with editing by cal. Subscribe on YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts and find out what's next@techcrunch.com events. Thanks so much for listening and we'll talk to you next time.
Other episodes covering the same guests and topics, from across The B2B Podcast Index.