Q1 2026 w/Carta: What you need to raise a Series A. | Peter Walker, Head of Insights at Carta

Episode notes

The AI boom is making founders feel like the market is wide open, but the data tells a sharper story: valuations are up, round sizes are bigger, and the bar to “count” in a top-tier fund’s Monday meeting keeps rising. We sit down with Peter to translate Q1 2026 venture capital trends into founder reality, from seed-stage pricing distortions driven by AI infrastructure to the quieter pressure building across the rest of the startup market. We get specific on early-stage fundraising benchmarks and why Series A now looks riskier than many people assume. Median Series A valuations have climbed close to 2x in a few years, while typical raises jumped from roughly $8M to $10M to $13M to $15M. That changes everything: ownership targets, follow-on costs, and the outcome math that pushes investors (and founders) toward “decacorn-plus” expectations. If you are pitching $100M ARR as the endgame, you may already be behind. Then we zoom out to the forces shaping who wins: Bay Area gravity, a real valuation gap versus other hubs, and practical tactics like visiting the Bay to capture network effects without uprooting your life.