What VCs Miss When Evaluating Lending Startups: Alok Mittal

Episode notes

Six months before India's first real credit cycle hit, one MSME digital lending founder quietly stopped approving 30% of his eligible borrowers. The full story of how Alok Mittal of Indifi Technologies read a signal that his entire industry missed, in conversation with host Akshay Datt. A former venture capitalist who walked away from Canaan Partners to build the unglamorous business of lending to small Indian shops, Alok Mittal has spent a decade proving that 85% of India's MSMEs are not uncreditworthy, the financial system simply cannot tell them apart. Indifi Technologies, which he co-founded in 2015, has disbursed over $497 million across 55,000 businesses in 400 cities, using machine learning that ingests real-time data from partners like Swiggy, Amazon, and BharatPe. In this conversation, Alok explains why human underwriters cannot psychologically distinguish a 1% risk from a 5% risk, why his team cut 30% of borrowers in September 2023 while the industry kept growing, and how India's first real credit cycle in a decade is separating disciplined MSME digital lending operators from those who only got lucky during a good cycle.

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