The Rundown 1/15/26: Kepler’s Space Lasers, RBCx Fundraising Lows, and the New Fight for Tech Sovereignty

Episode notes

In this episode of Tank Talks, host Matt Cohen and recurring guest John Ruffolo kick off the new year with a true “only in 2026” combo: a front-row seat to a SpaceX Falcon 9 launch carrying Kepler Communications’ satellites, followed by a hard reality check on Canada’s venture capital slowdown. John breaks down what it felt like watching the rocket, the first-stage landing, and why Kepler’s mission is bigger than a cool space flex: it’s the early shape of space-based data centers and laser-linked networks. From there, Matt and John unpack an RBCx report arguing 2025 was Canada’s worst VC fundraising year since 2016, and why “capital is fungible” is a comforting myth at the seed stage. They dig into how de-globalization and national self-interest are reshaping capital flows, why Canada is getting squeezed by the barbell effect in venture, and what policy levers (like a QSBS-style incentive) could actually restart domestic risk capital.

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